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甲醇高位震荡。玻璃和纯碱走势分化。消费过于依赖汽车

来源:国泰君安期货 2020-12-16 08:57:27

  01

  消费过于依赖汽车

  GUANDIANFENXIANG:DANG“SHUNZHOUQI”SHUXINGDEZHIZAOYEHEJINGCHUKOUDENGXIANGMUHUISHENGZHIHOU,CHICHICHUYUBEIKUOZHANG、BEIZHENGCEZHUMULADONGDEXIAOFEICHENGWEISHUNZHOUQILUOJIXIAYIGEYANZHANXIANG,YOUQIZAILVFANTIJI“KUODANEIXU”、“NEIXUNHUAN”HE“XUQIUCEGAIGE”DEZHENGCEYINDAOXIA,11YUEFENSHEHUIXIAOFEIPINLINGSHOUZONGETONGBIZENG5.0%,BI10YUEHUISHENG0.7GEBAIFENDIAN,KANSIHAIBUCUO,RANERKOUCHUQICHEXIAOFEIYIWAIDEQITAXIAOFEIPINLINGSHOUEJINZENGZHANG4.2%。LEIJILAIKAN,1-11YUESHEHUIXIAOFEIPINLINGSHOUZONGETONGBIXIAJIANG4.8%。SANJIDUYIHOUQICHEXIAOFEIDANYUEZENGSUWEICHIZAI12%,QIEQICHEXIAOFEIZHANSHEXIAOZONGEDE10%,DANGQIANXIAOFEIGUOYUYILAIQICHE。

  02

  03

  *:YIXIASUOLIEWEIGEXIANGGUANPINZHONGDEBAOGAOMULU。RUNINXIWANGCHAKANBAOGAONEIRONG,QINGDIANJIXIAFANGXIAOCHENGXUKAPIAN。

  股指:期指或震荡偏强为主

  国债:天量 MLF 操作,期债情绪偏暖

  黄金:重新上破1850位置,震荡

  白银:震荡

  铜:消费预期良好,高位震荡

  铝:横盘震荡,关注后续库存变化

  锌:现货升水坚挺,价格震荡

  铅:库存持续增加,价格承压

  镍:偏强运行

  铁矿石:现货贸易商落地亏损严重,现货易涨难跌,对盘面形成支撑

  螺纹钢:成本端支撑强劲,高位震荡

  热轧卷板:现货仍有支撑,高位震荡

  焦炭:震荡偏强

  焦煤:震荡偏强

  动力煤:高位震荡

  玻璃:春节前仍偏强

  豆粕:美豆收涨,连粕反弹震荡

  豆油:国内现货成交仍缩量,高位震荡

  MIANHUA:PIANQIANG,GUANZHU15200YUAN/DUNTAOBAOYALISHIFANGQINGKUANG,KESHIDUKAOLV5-9FANTAO

  鸡蛋:03空单轻仓持有

  PTA:成本抬升,底部上移

  MEG: 成本抬升,底部上移

  沥青:高位震荡

  纸浆:高位震荡整理

  尿素:01合约有超跌嫌疑

  苯乙烯:弱势震荡,继续关注换月

  LPG:偏强震荡

  PF:现货放量,成本端推动上涨

  原油:油价波动或更加剧烈

  04

  铜价走势迟滞,因新冠肺炎感染病例激增打压人气

  ZHOUERTONGJIAXIAOFUZHENDANG,YINXINYILUNYUYIQINGYOUGUANFENGSUOCUOSHIDAILAIDEJINGJIYINGXIANGDEDANYOU,GAIGUOLEZHONGGUOQIANGJINGGONGYECHANCHUSHUJUDEYINGXIANG。LUNDUNJINSHUJIAOYISUO(LME)SANGEYUEQITONGSHANGZHANG0.3%,ZHIMEIDUN7774MEIYUAN,DANXIANYUXIAZHAIQUJIANNEI。

  智利Centinela铜矿延长谈判以避免罢工

  JUWAIMEIBAODAO,ZHILIANTUOFAJIASITAGONGSI(Antofagasta Plc)DECentinelaTONGKUANGZHOUERJINXINGGONGHUIQIATAN,YIDACHENGXINZIXIEYI,BIMIANZHILIBEIBUDETONGKUANGBAGONG。ZHOUER,DIQUGONGHUIZHUXILuis RedlichBIAOSHI,ZAIGONGHUICHENGYUANHUIMIANTAOLUNZUIHOUDEFENQIHOU,SHUANGFANGJIANGZAIZUIHOUYITIANJINXINGYOUZHENGFUDIAOJIEDETANPAN。TASHUO,WOMENYOUZUIHOUYICIDIAOJIE,BINGYINGGAIZAIMEIYOUFENQIDEQINGKUANGXIAJIESHU。

  下游抵触情绪增强 玻璃主力尾盘反弹

  HUATAIQIHUORENWEI,SUIZHEXIANHUOSHANGDIAO,01HEYUERENGYOUSHANGDIAODEDONGLI,MUQIANPANMIANZHULI05HEYUE,ZAIJUEDUIGAOLIRUN、GAOJIAGEXIA,SHICHANGYOUKONGGAOQINGXU,MEINIAN2-4YUEFENSHIBOLIXIAOFEIXIANGDUIDANJI,ZAIDICHANSANDAOHONGXIANZHENGCEXIA,JIANGHUIJIASUZHOUZHUAN,CUJINBOLIXIAOFEI,QIEBOLIYINGYONGLINGYUYUELAIYUEGUANG,CUNZAIBUFENFUFABOLIZHUANGUANGFUBOLIQUSHI,RENGRANJIANYIFENGDIZUODUO。

  上涨动能尚存 铁矿重返千元

  JIGAOWEIZHONGCUOHOU,TIEKUANGSHIJINRIXUNSUQIWENFANDAN,05HEYUEZHONGSHANGQIANYUAN,ZUIGAOSHENGZHI1001.5YUAN/DUN,ZHANGFUCHAOGUO2%。JIBIANTIEKUANGZHENGCEFENGXIANLEIJI,DANAO、BAFAYUNZONGLIANGHUANBIJIXUJIANSHAO,FAWANGZHONGGUODETIEKUANGSHIZONGLIANGYIJIUDIJIAN,BENZHOUCHENGJIAOLIANGYIJIUWEICHIGAOWEI,SHANGZHANGDONGNENGSHANGCUN。

  统计局:11月汽车制造业工业增加值同比增长11.1%

  JUZHONGGUOQICHEGONGYEXIEHUIBIANJIDEGUOJIATONGJIJUGONGBUDESHUJUXIANSHI,11YUE,QICHEZHIZAOYEGONGYEZENGJIAZHITONGBIZENGZHANG11.1%,GAOYUTONGQIQUANGUOGUIMOYISHANGGONGYEQIYEZENGJIAZHI4.1GEBAIFENDIAN。1-11YUE,QICHEZHIZAOYEGONGYEZENGJIAZHITONGBIZENGZHANG6.3%,YU1-10YUEXIANGBI,ZENGSUTISHENG0.7GEBAIFENDIAN, GAOYUTONGQIQUANGUOGUIMOYISHANGGONGYEQIYEZENGJIAZHI4.0GEBAIFENDIAN。

  PRefChem计划在2021年第一季度重新启动工厂运营

  JUWAIMEIBAODAO,MALAIXIYALIANYOUSHANGPRefChemJIHUAZAI2021NIANDIYIJIDUHUIFUQIWEIYUPENGGELANGDEGONGCHANGDEYUNYING。ZHEIJIALIANYOUCHANGSHIMALAIXIYAGUOJIASHIYOUGONGSI(Petronas)HESHATEALABOGUOJIASHIYOUGONGSI(Saudi Aramco)DEHEZIQIYE,JINNIAN3YUEQICHAIYOUJIAQINGCHULIJIYINFAHUOZAIHOUGUANBI。

  韩国11月原油进口降至10年低点

  JUHANGUOHAIGUANGONGBUSHUJU,11YUEFENHANGUOYUANYOUJINKOULIANGTONGBIXIAJIANG25%ZHI930WANDUN,ZHEISHIZI2010NIAN6YUEYILAIDEZUIDISHUIPING。HANGUOCONGSHATEALABODEYUANYOUJINKOULIANGTONGBIZENGZHANG3.5%ZHI333WANDUN,ERCONGMEIGUODEYUANYOUJINKOULIANGTONGBIXIAJIANG47%ZHI83.2WANDUN,WEI8YUEYILAIDEZUIDISHUIPING。YEHUATIANRANQIJINKOULIANGTONGBIXIAHUA5.3%ZHI360WANDUN。

  花旗:亚洲液化天然气价格因冬季需求和供应中断而飙升

  HUAQIJITUANFENXISHIZHOUYIZAIYIFENBAOGAOZHONGBIAOSHI,YOUYUGONGYINGDUANQUECUSHIYAZHOUXIAOFEIZHECAIGOUHUOWU,RIHANSHICHANGYEHUATIANRANQIJIAGEYISHENGZHI26GEYUELAIDEZUIGAOSHUIPING,CHAOGUO11MEIYUAN/BAIWANYINGRE。AODALIYA、KATAERHENIRILIYADEGONGYINGZHONGDUANDAOZHISHICHANGQUJIN,ERBANAMAYUNHEDEYONGDUXIANZHILEMEIGUOYUNWANGYAZHOUDEYEHUATIANRANQIHUOWUDESHULIANG,ZHEIYESHIDAOZHIGONGYINGSHOUJINDEYUANYINZHIYI。

  农产品

  原糖投机净持仓三连降 价格上涨乏力

  MEIGUOSHANGPINQIHUOJIAOYIWEIYUANHUI(CFTC)ZUIXINBAOGAOXIANSHI,JIEZHI12YUE8RIDANGZHOU,DUICHONGJIJINJIDAXINGTOUJIKEDEYUANTANGJINGDUOCHICANGJIAOQIANYIZHOUJIANSHAO10779SHOU,ZHI257800SHOU,BAXICHANLIANGCHUANGXINGAOYIJIYINDUCHUKOUBUTIECHUANWEN,DANBENZHAJIQUANQIUGONGYINGQUEKOUJINYIBUZENGJIA,DUOKONGJIAOZHIDEJUMIANCUSHITOUJIDUOTOUJIKONGTOUSHUANGSHUANGJIANCHI。ZONGCHICANGJIAOQIANZHOUJIANSHAO13782SHOU,ZHI1067538SHOU。(MUTIANKEJI)

  国家粮油信息中心:豆粕库存上升、基差窄幅波动、价格震荡

  ①GUONEIDADOUGONGYINGRENGRANCHONGZU,HOUQIDADOUYAZHALIANGYUQIJIXUHUISHENG,JIAZHIDANQINHEBUFENROUQINYANGZHICHUXIANKUISUN,CUNLANZHUJIANXIAJIANG,QINLIAOXUQIUJIANSHAOZHIYUEDOUPOXIAOFEIZENGZHANG,YUJIHOUQIDOUPOKUCUNJIANGJIXUSHANGSHENG。

  ②SUIRANUSDAJIXUXIADIAOMEIDOUQIMOKUCUN,DANJINQINANMEIDADOUCHANQUTIANQITIAOJIANGAISHAN,MEIDOUJIAGESHANGZHANGFALI,CHENGBENDUANNANYIJIDOUPOJIAGETIGONGQIANGYOULIZHICHENG。GUONEIDADOUDAOGANGLIANGRENGRANJIAODA,DADOUGONGYINGJIAOWEICHONGZU,SUIZHEXIAOBAOZHUANGYOUZHIBEIHUOQIDEKAISHI,YOUCHANGYAZHALIANGJIANGWEICHIJIAOGAOSHUIPING。DONGJIWEISHUICHANYANGZHIDANJI,QINLIAOXUQIUYEYINCUNLANJIANSHAOERXIAHUA,DOUPOXUQIUZENGZHANGFANGHUAN,JIAZHIZIJINRENGQINGLAIYOUZHI,MAIYOUMAIPOTAOLIJIXUYAZHIDOUPOJIAGE,YUJIDUANQINEIDOUPOJIAGEJIXUZHENDANGDIAOZHENG,JIANYIMAIJIASUICAISUIYONG。GUONEISHENGZHUYANGZHICHIXUHUIFU,DOUPOXUQIUQUZENG,YUANYUEHEYUEKEYISHIDANGFENGDIZUODUO。

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(本文内容仅供参考,并不构成投资建议!投资者据此操作,风险自担。)

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猎金龙虎榜

2020-12-28
  • 排名 客户 收益金额
  • 1 陈先生 ¥165000
  • 2 王先生 ¥134098
  • 3 袁先生 ¥82500
  • 4 郑先生 ¥77550
  • 5 史先生 ¥75288

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